Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.2#222
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#213
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#287
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 20.9% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 48.0% 73.6% 44.5%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 84.6% 70.6%
Conference Champion 17.4% 29.9% 15.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.1% 4.2%
First Four5.2% 4.1% 5.4%
First Round10.6% 19.2% 9.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 12.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 413 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 97   @ DePaul L 69-82 12%    
  Nov 13, 2019 233   @ Fordham L 65-69 35%    
  Nov 18, 2019 244   @ Army L 71-74 37%    
  Nov 24, 2019 261   @ Lafayette L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 26, 2019 41   @ Notre Dame L 60-79 4%    
  Dec 03, 2019 256   Quinnipiac W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 07, 2019 2   @ Kentucky L 56-84 1%    
  Dec 11, 2019 307   @ St. Peter's W 65-64 51%    
  Dec 14, 2019 143   Princeton L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 21, 2019 189   @ La Salle L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 02, 2020 293   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 04, 2020 314   @ Bryant W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 09, 2020 249   Sacred Heart W 80-77 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 210   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 15, 2020 248   St. Francis (PA) W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 20, 2020 342   Central Connecticut St. W 79-68 83%    
  Jan 23, 2020 304   @ Merrimack W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 249   @ Sacred Heart L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 30, 2020 331   @ Wagner W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 287   Mount St. Mary's W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 06, 2020 304   Merrimack W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 13, 2020 331   Wagner W 70-61 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 273   @ Robert Morris L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 18, 2020 342   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 21, 2020 210   LIU Brooklyn W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 23, 2020 273   Robert Morris W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 314   Bryant W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 29, 2020 287   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.4 4.8 3.2 1.5 0.5 17.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.7 5.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.2 1.4 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.7 1.3 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.3 5.0 6.8 8.6 10.0 10.9 11.5 11.2 9.5 8.0 5.8 3.4 1.5 0.5 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 99.1% 1.5    1.4 0.1
16-2 95.7% 3.2    2.8 0.4 0.0
15-3 82.8% 4.8    3.6 1.2 0.1
14-4 54.3% 4.4    2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 25.6% 2.4    0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1
12-6 5.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.4% 17.4 11.4 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 66.0% 66.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.5% 51.7% 51.7% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.1%
16-2 3.4% 41.4% 41.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 2.0
15-3 5.8% 32.3% 32.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 3.9
14-4 8.0% 26.5% 26.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 5.9
13-5 9.5% 21.0% 21.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 7.5
12-6 11.2% 15.8% 15.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 9.4
11-7 11.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 10.3
10-8 10.9% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 10.1
9-9 10.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.5
8-10 8.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.4
7-11 6.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.7
6-12 5.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 13.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 7.8 86.9 0.0%